Kevin Rudd, the former Australian prime minister and now the country's ambassador to the US, has offered a compelling insight into the AUKUS submarine project and its implications for regional security. In a recent interview, Rudd expressed unwavering confidence in the project's success, despite initial doubts and the political climate under the Trump administration. He believes that AUKUS has passed the point of no return and will be delivered successfully, a view that aligns with his high-level role in the project's inception and legislative process.
Rudd's confidence stems from the bipartisan support AUKUS enjoys in the US Congress, where he helped steer the enabling legislation through. He also highlights the significant preparatory work being done in Australia, particularly at Fleet Base West and Osborne in South Australia, to ready the country's shipyards for the project. This includes investments in infrastructure and facilities to support the submarine home-porting facility and visiting American and British vessels.
However, Rudd's comments also shed light on the complex relationship between the US and China, particularly regarding Taiwan. He acknowledges that China continues to move towards forcibly seizing control of Taiwan, and the risks of military action are increasing. Rudd's concern is evident, as he emphasizes the potential for crisis, conflict, and war over Taiwan, which he believes would be 'unbelievably catastrophic'.
In terms of the US-Australia relationship, Rudd highlights the importance of four pillars: AUKUS, rare earths and critical minerals cooperation, finance based on Australian superannuation investment, and co-operation on critical tech, including AI. He views the relationship as well-placed for the future, despite the challenges posed by China's rise and the Trump administration's policies.
Rudd's resignation from his ambassador's post and his return to the Asia Society in New York also underscore his commitment to preventing conflict and promoting peace in the region. His expertise in China and Mandarin language skills, coupled with his book on Chinese President Xi Jinping, position him as a key figure in understanding and navigating the complex geopolitical landscape of the Asia-Pacific region.
